The odds
Every number, published.
These tables are the exact weights the opening engine draws against. Pack statistics come from a deterministic 80,000-open simulation — the same code that runs your pulls.
CORE EDITION
Core Pack
4 cards · 1 chase card · $10
Avg contents$7.0470.4% of price
Beats price10.5%per pack
Epic+ chance31.9%≥1 epic or mythic
Floor → cap$3.15 → $60.00min seen → max total
| Rarity | Regular card | Chase card | Value band | ≥1 in pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 72.0% | 55.0% | $0.63 – $1.50 | 99.7% |
| Rare | 22.0% | 32.0% | $1.75 – $3.00 | 74.8% |
| Epic | 5.5% | 11.0% | $3.00 – $6.25 | 29.0% |
| Mythic | 0.5% | 2.0% | $7.50 – $20.00 | 3.9% |
GROWTH EDITION
Growth Pack
5 cards · 1 chase card · $25
Avg contents$17.4569.8% of price
Beats price9.3%per pack
Epic+ chance36.1%≥1 epic or mythic
Floor → cap$7.86 → $150.00min seen → max total
| Rarity | Regular card | Chase card | Value band | ≥1 in pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 72.0% | 55.0% | $1.30 – $3.12 | 99.9% |
| Rare | 22.0% | 32.0% | $3.64 – $6.24 | 80.4% |
| Epic | 5.5% | 11.0% | $6.24 – $13.00 | 32.9% |
| Mythic | 0.5% | 2.0% | $15.60 – $41.60 | 4.4% |
ALPHA EDITION
Alpha Pack
5 cards · 2 chase cards · $50
Avg contents$43.8287.6% of price
Beats price24.3%per pack
Epic+ chance44.5%≥1 epic or mythic
Floor → cap$19.06 → $300.00min seen → max total
| Rarity | Regular card | Chase card | Value band | ≥1 in pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 72.0% | 55.0% | $2.70 – $6.48 | 100.0% |
| Rare | 22.0% | 32.0% | $7.56 – $12.96 | 86.6% |
| Epic | 5.5% | 11.0% | $12.96 – $27.00 | 40.3% |
| Mythic | 0.5% | 2.0% | $32.40 – $86.40 | 6.3% |
How the numbers work
- Per-card odds. Each regular slot rolls on 72% Common / 22% Rare / 5.5% Epic / 0.5% Mythic. Chase slots roll on 55% / 32% / 11% / 2%.
- Value bands. Every rarity has a published value band. The engine samples inside the band with a low-end bias (r³), so most pulls sit near the bottom and occasional ones run deep.
- Pack cap. No pack can total more than its cap — if a draw would exceed it, values scale down to fit.
- Simulation. Stats above come from 80,000 simulated opens per pack using a fixed random seed — run the same code, get the same numbers.
- Expected value is below price. That is the honest truth of any pack: the gap pays for the show. Packs are entertainment, not investment.